Incidence of Pediatric Cancer in a Colombian City

DOI:  https://doi.org/10.12804/revsalud14.03.2016.01

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Published: Sep 9, 2016
Issue: Vol. 14 No. 03 (2016): Ciencias de la Salud
Section Clinical or Experimental Research


Keywords: Chilhood cancer leukemias Incidence Bayesian inference Predictive probability.

Main Article Content

Authors

José Rafael Tovar
Escuela de Estadística, Universidad del Valle.
Gustavo A. Gómez
Programa Jóvenes Investigadores de Colciencias. Escuela de Estadística.

Abstract

Introduction: Pediatric cancer is a rare disease and only represents between 0.5 % and 3 % of
malignant neoplasms in the world. The main goal of this study was to describe the behavior of
incidence of pediatric cancer in the administrative units of the urban area of Santiago de Cali
in the period 2009 to 2013. Materials and methods: Maps with the distribution of standardized
incidence rates by age for each administrative unit are presented. We propose a methodology to
obtain the predictive statistical probabilities of observing equal or greater amounts of pediatric
cancer cases in a time period equal to the study, using Bayesian statistical techniques. Results:
During the period of study, were observed 350 cases of pediatric cancer in the city (37 % of
leukemia), corresponding to standardized incidence of new 121 cases per million of individuals
aged under 15 years. Conclusion: Incidence rates of pediatric cancer observed for the city were
lower than many of those reported in the literature, however, should be considered the fact that
all studies do not share the same conditions for data collection in terms of periods time and the
definition of child population.

Author Biographies

José Rafael Tovar, Escuela de Estadística, Universidad del Valle.

MSc, PhD. Escuela de Estadística, Universidad del Valle.

Gustavo A. Gómez, Programa Jóvenes Investigadores de Colciencias. Escuela de Estadística.

Programa Jóvenes Investigadores de Colciencias. Escuela de Estadística.
How to Cite
Tovar, J. R., & Gómez, G. A. (2016). Incidence of Pediatric Cancer in a Colombian City. Revista Ciencias De La Salud, 14(03), 315–329. https://doi.org/10.12804/revsalud14.03.2016.01
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