The Green Economy in Brazil and the Determining Factors for the Transition: An Analysis using the STIRPAT Method

DOI:  https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/territorios/a.14740

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Published: Jul 1, 2025
Issue: No. 53 (2025): Miscellanea
Section General Section


Keywords: Technology climate change development sustainability Brazil

Main Article Content

Authors

  Adrian Jedyn
Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná
  Christian Luiz Da Silva
Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná
  Marilia de Souza
Fundacao Araucária
  Carine de Almeida Vieira
UFPR
  Sidarta Ruthes
Observatório Sistema Fiep
  Laila Del Bem Seleme Wildauer
SENAI-PR

Abstract

This article aims to assess the factors influencing the transition to a green economy in Brazil using the stirpat model. It examines emissions (1981–2021) and deforestation (1991–2021) as dependent variables. The results show that gdp per capita is negatively correlated with emissions due to deindustrialization and technological advancements. Energy consumption is positively associated with emissions because of urban expansion, reflecting a preference for economic growth over environmental concerns. Agricultural expansion is inversely correlated with emissions, suggesting potential carbon sequestration in rural areas. Forest cover decreases with gdp per capita, population growth, and energy use, indicating forest loss linked to economic growth and urbanization. The study underscores the need for tailored socio-technical transitions, promoting green sectors, robust environmental regulations, and sustainable practices to foster innovation, decarbonization, and equitable development.

Author Biographies

Adrian Jedyn, Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná

Researcher of the Graduate Program in Technology and Society (PPGTE) of the Federal Technological University of Paraná

Christian Luiz Da Silva, Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná

Full Professor at the Federal Technological University of Paraná (UTFPR). CNPq Productivity Scholarship. Economist, Masters Degree and Doctorate in production engineering from The Federal University of Santa Catarina (UFSC) and post-doctorate in business administration from the University of São Paulo (USP). At the UTFPR, he was Dean of Research and Graduate Studies. He is permanent professor of the Graduate Programs in Planning and Public Governance (PGP) - professional Master's Degree and Doctorate - and of the Graduate Program in Regional Development (PPGDR) - academic Master's Degree and Doctorate in Urban and Regional Planning and Demography/CAPES, and the Graduate Program in Technology and Society (PPGTE) Academic Master's Degree and Doctorate (interdisciplinary field). He is Editor-in-Chief of Revista Tecnologia e Sociedade (since 2010); a reviewer for more than 50 Brazilian and international journals and a member of the editorial committee of 7 journals. Leader of the research group on Public Policies and Territorial Development Dynamics (PD2T), with a focus on the themes of public policies for sustainable territorial development, solid waste management and the circular economy and smart and sustainable cities. 

How to Cite
Jedyn, A., Da Silva, C. L., de Souza, M., de Almeida Vieira, C., Ruthes, S., & Seleme Wildauer, L. D. B. (2025). The Green Economy in Brazil and the Determining Factors for the Transition: An Analysis using the STIRPAT Method. Territorios, (53). https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/territorios/a.14740
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