Efeitos macroeconômicos da política fiscal durante a crise do Covid-19: evidências da Bolívia em nível regional

DOI:  https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/economia/a.13596

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Publicado: ago 15, 2023
Edição: v. 26 n. 1 (2023)
Seção Artigos


Palavras-chave: Política fiscal Covid-19 Falhas Ciclos econômicos Vetores autorregressivos de frequência mista Volatilidade estocástica Gastos de governo regionais e locais

Conteúdo do artigo principal

Autores

Miguel Sebastiano Chalup Calmotti
Centro de Investigación Económica del Colegio de Economista (ciece), Colegio de Economistas de Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz de la Sierra, Bolivia).
Luis Fernando Escobar Caba
Universidad Autónoma Gabriel René Moreno y Centro de Investigación Económica del Colegio de Economista (ciece), Colegio de Economistas de Santa Cruz.

Resumo

Este artigo avalia o impacto da política fiscal aplicada na Bolívia durante a crise do Covid-19 em nível regional. Inclui duas análises: a desaceleração econômica regional analisada por meio de um modelo bayesiano var de frequência mista com volatilidade estocástica; e o impacto e eficácia da política fiscal usando um modelo var de parâmetros variáveis ao longo do tempo. Os resultados indicam que a pandemia teve um efeito heterogêneo sobre a atividade econômica das regiões e o gasto de capital do Tesouro Geral da Nação foi a política fiscal mais eficaz para reduzir os efeitos recessivos da crise. Também observamos que algumas regiões reagiram positivamente aos gastos de capital dos governos regionais e locais.

Como Citar
Chalup Calmotti, M. S., & Escobar Caba, L. F. (2023). Efeitos macroeconômicos da política fiscal durante a crise do Covid-19: evidências da Bolívia em nível regional. Revista De Economía Del Rosario, 26(1), 1–39. https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/economia/a.13596
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