DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12804/apl33.01.2015.08

Análisis de evidencia en investigaciones sobre toma de decisiones entre 2002 y 2012

Descargar Artículo
Jorge Iván Fernández Arbeláez, Johny Villada Zapata

Resumen


El presente artículo lleva a cabo la revisión sistemática de 66 investigaciones publicadas sobre toma de decisiones en psicología durante el periodo comprendido entre 2002 y 2012 en idiomas inglés y español. Los artículos revisados fueron clasificados de acuerdo con sus niveles de evidencia y grados de recomendación según la Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN). Se llevó a cabo un análisis pormenorizado de los tipos, niveles y diseños de investigación informados por los diferentes artículos, así como las relaciones entre estos factores y los niveles de evidencia alcanzados. Se aprecia una mayor calidad de evidencia en investigaciones sobre correlatos fisiológicos de variables de elección, a la vez que una menor calidad en estudios comparativos entre modelos psicológicos de decisión. Respecto a estos últimos, se evidencia una gran divergencia teórica y una ausencia de trabajos orientados a la consolidación de un cuerpo teórico coherente.


Palabras clave


toma de decisiones; juicio; análisis de evidencia;

Texto completo:

PDF

Estadísticas de Uso:

Descargas
Año201420152016
Total103334160



Referencias


Antonides, G., Kroft, M. (2005). Fairness judgments in household decision making. Journal of Economic Psychology, 26, 902-913.

Argibay, J. C. (2009). Muestra en investigación cuantitativa. Subjetividad y procesos cognitivos, 13(1), 13-29.

Bartels D. M., & Medin D. L. (2007). Are Morally Motivated Decision Makers Insensitive to the Consequences of Their Choices? Psychological Science, 18(1), 24-28.

Bechara, A., Damasio, A. R., Damasio, H., & Anderson, S. W. (1994). Insensitivity to future consequences following damage to human prefrontal cortex. Cognition, 50(1-3), 7-15.

Baron, J. (2008). Thinking and Deciding. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Basten, U., Biele, G., Heekeren, H. R., & Fiebach, C. J. (2010). How the brain integrates costs and benefits during decision making. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 14(107), 21767-21772.

Bechara, A. (2004). The role of emotion in decision-making: Evidence from neurological patients with orbitofrontal damage. Brain and Cognition, 55, 30-40

Beer, J. S., Knight, R. T., & D'Esposito, M. (2006). Controlling the Integration of Emotion and Cognition: The Role of Frontal Cortex in Distinguishing Helpful from Hurtful Emotional Information. Psychological Science, 17(5), 448-453

Betsch, T., & Glöckner, A. (2010). Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making: Extensive Thinking without effort. Psychological Inquiry, 21, 279-294.

Brown, J. C. (2006). The effects of behavioral and outcome feedback on prudent decision making under conditions of present and future uncertainty. Judgment and Decision Making, 1(1), 76-85.

Bush, G., Vogt, B. A., Holmes, J., Dale, A. M., Greve, D., Jenike, M. A., & Rosen, B. R. (2002). Dorsal anterior cingulate cortex: A role in reward-based decision making. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 99(1), 523-528.

Chuang, S. (2007). Sadder but Wiser or Happier and Smarter? A Demonstration of Judgment and Decision Making. The Journal of Psychology, 141(1), 63-76.

Contreras, D., Catena, A., Cándido, A., Perales, J., y Maldonado, A. (2008). Funciones de la corteza prefrontal ventromedial en la toma de decisiones emocionales. International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology, 8(1), 285-313.

Denburg , N. L., Recknor, E. C., Bechara, A., & Tranel, D. (2006). Psychophysiological anticipation of positive outcomes promotes advantageous decision-making in normal older persons. International Journal of Psychophisiology, 61, 19-25.

Dhami, M. K., (2003). Psychological Models of Professional Decision Making. Psychological Science, 14(2), 175-180.

Dobbins, I. (2009). Rules Versus Evidence in Memory and Non-Memory Decision-Making. Military Psychology, 21(1), 113-122.

Emparranza, J. y Urreta, I. (2005). Revisión sistemática y metaanálisis. Anales de pediatría continuada, 3(6), 1-9.

Ermer, E., Cosmides, L., Tooby, J. (2008). Relative status regulates risky decision making about resources in men: evidence for the co-evolution of motivation and cognition. Evolution and Human Behavior, 29, 106-118.

Fernández, E., Borrell, C. y Plasència, A. (2001). El valor de las revisiones y el valor de revisiones. Gaceta Sanitaria, 15(4), 1-2.

Ferreira M. B., Garcia-Marques, L., Sherman S. J. & Sherman J. W. (2006). Automatic and Controlled Components of Judgment and Decision Making. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 9(5), 797-813.

Fletcher, J. M., Marks, A. D., & Hine, D. W. (2011). Working memory capacity and cognitive styles in decision-making. Personality and Individual Differences, 50, 1136-1141.

Forstmann, B. U., Anwander, A., Schäfer, A., Neumann, J., Brown, S., Wagenmakers, E. J., Bogacz, R., & Turner, R. (2010). Cortico-striatal connections predict control over speed and accuracy in perceptual decision making. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 107(36), 15916-15920.

Forstmann, B. U., Dutilh, G., Brown, S., Neumann, J., von Cramon, D. Y., Ridderinkhof, K. R., & Wagenmakers, E. J. (2008). Striatum and pre-SMA facilitate decision-making under time pressure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105(45), 17538-17542.

Galotti, K. M. (2007). Decision Structuring in Important Real-Life Choices. Psychological Science, 18(4), 320-325.

García-Retamero, R., Müller, S. M., Catena, A., & Maldonado, A. (2009). The power of causal beliefs and conflicting evidence on causal judgments and decision making. Learning and Motivation, 40, 284-297.

García-Retamero, R., y Hoffrage, U. (2009). Influencia de las creencias causales en los procesos de toma de decisiones. Revista mexicana de psicología, 26(1), 103-111.

Gehring, W. & Willoughby, A. (2002). The medial frontal cortex and the rapid processing of monetary gains and losses. Science, 295(5563), 2279-2282.

Gigerenzer, G. (1998). Surrogates for Theories. Theory & Psychology, 8(2), 195-204.

Gilbody, S. & Sowden, A. (2000). Systematic Review in mental healt. En: N. Rowland & S. Goss (Eds). Evidence-Based Counselling and Psychological Therapies. Londres: Routledge.

Glöckner, A., & Witteman, C. (2010). Beyond dual-process models: A categorization of processes underlying intuitive judgement and decision making. Thinking and Reasoning, 16(1), 1-25.

Glöckner, A., Betsch, T. (2011). The empirical content of theories in judgment and decision making: Shortcomings and remedies. Judgment and Decision Making, 6 (8), 711-721.

Gordillo, F., Salvador, J., Arana, J. M., Mestas, L., Meilán, J. J. G., Carro, J., y Pérez E. (2010). Estudio de la toma de decisiones en una variante de la Iowa Gambling Task. Revista Electrónica de Emoción y Motivación, 13(34), 88-107.

Green, L., Myerson, J., & Macaux E. W., (2005). Temporal discounting when the choice is between two delayed rewards. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 31(5), 1121-1133.

Hajcak, G., Holroyd, C. B., Moser, J., & Simons, R. (2005). Brain potentials associated with expected and unexpected good and bad outcomes. Psychophysiology, 42, 161-170.

Hajcak, G., Holroyd, C., Moser, J., & Simons, R. (2007). It’s worse than you thought: The feedback negativity and violations of reward prediction in gambling tasks. Psychophysiology, 44, 905-912.

Halberstadt, J., & Catty, S. (2008). Analytic Thought Disrupts Familiarity-Based Decision Making. Social Cognition, 26(6), 755-765.

Han, S., Lerner, J. S., & Keltner, D. (2007).Feelings and Consumer Decision Making: The Appraisal-Tendency Framework. Journal of consumer psychology, 17(3), 158-168.

Hartwigsen, G., Baumgaertner, A., Price, C. J., Koehnke, M., Ulmer, S., Siebner, H. R., (2010). Phonological decisions require both the left and right supramarginal gyri. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(38), 16494-16499.

Hewig, J., Trippe, R., Hecht, H., Coles M. G., Holroyd, C. B., & Miltner, W. H. (2007). Decision-making in Blackjack: An electrophysiological analysis. Cerebral Cortex, 17, 865-877.

Hilbig, B. E., Erdfelder, E., Pohl, R. F. (2012). A Matter of Time: Antecedents of one-reason Decision Making Based on Recognition. Acta Psychologica, 141, 9-16.

Hill, S. E., & Buss, D. M. (2010). Risk and relative social rank: positional concerns and risky shifts in probabilistic decision-making. Evolution and Human Behavior, 31, 219-226.

Holyoak, K. & Morrison, R. (2005). Thinking and Reasoning: A Reader’s Guide. En K. Holyoak. & R. Morrison (Eds.), The Cambridge Handbook of thinking and reasoning (pp. 1-9). New York: Cambridge University Press.

Holroyd, C. B., Krigolson, O. E., Baker, R., Lee, S. & Gibson, J. (2009). When is an error not a prediction error? An electrophysiological investigation. Cognitive, Affective, & Behavioral Neuroscience, 9(1), 59-70.

Holroyd, C., Nieuwenhuis, S., Yeung, N. & Cohen, J. (2003). Errors in reward prediction are reflected in the event-related brain potential. Neuroreport, 14(18), 2481-2484.

Iyengar, S. S., Wells, R. E., & Schwartz, B. (2006). Doing better but feeling worse: looking for the best job undermines satisfaction. Psychological Science, 17(2), 143-150.

Jones, C. S., & Kaplan, M. F. (2003). The Effects of Racially Stereotypical Crimes on Juror Decision-Making and Information-Processing Strategies. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 25(1), 1-13.

Kahneman, D. (2003). A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. American Psychologist, 58(9), 697–720.

Kareev, Y. and Avrahami, J. (2007). Choosing between Adaptive Agents: Some Unexpected Implications of Level of Scrutiny. Psychological Science, 18(7), 636-641.

Katsikopoulos, K.V. & Lan, C. H. (2011) Herbert Simon´s Spell on Judgment and decision making. Judgment and decision making, 6(8), 722-732.

Lavin, C., San Martín, R., Bravo, D., Contreras, L., e Isla, P. (2011). Potenciales cerebrales relacionados a feedback en el estudio del aprendizaje y la toma de decisiones económicas. Revista Latinoamericana de Psicología, 43(3), 455-471.

LeBoeuf, R. A. & Shafir, E. B. (2006). Decision Making. En K. Holyoak & R. Morrison (Eds.), The Cambridge Handbook of thinking and reasoning (pp. 243-266). New York: Cambridge University Press.

Mills, C. M., & Grant, M. G. (2009). Biased decision-making: developing an understanding of how positive and negative relationships may skew judgments. Developmental Science, 12(5), 784-797.

Manterola, C. y Zavando, D. (2009). Cómo interpretar los “niveles de evidencia” en los diferentes escenarios clínicos. Revista Chilena de Cirugía, 61(6), 582-595.

Nasrallah, N. A., Yang, H. W., & Bernstein, I. L. (2009). Long-term risk preference and suboptimal decision making following adolescent alcohol use. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(41), 17600-17604.

Nieuwenhuis, S., Yeung, N., Holroyd, C., Schurger, A., & Cohen, J.D. (2004). Sensitivity of electrophysiological activity from medial frontal cortex to utilitarian and performance feedback. Cerebral Cortex, 14, 741-747.

Osman, M., & Shanks, D. R. (2005). Individual differences in causal learning and decision making. Acta Psychologica, 120, 93-112.

Pachur, T., & Olsson, H. (2012). Type of learning task impacts performance and strategy selection in decision making. Cognitive Psychology 65, 207-240

Paul, I., Wearden, J., Bannier, D., Gontier, E., Le Dantec, C., Rebaï, M. (2011). Making decisions about time: Event-related potentials and judgements about the equality of durations. Biological Psychology, 88, 94-103.

Peters, E., Vastfjall, D., Slovic, P., Mertz, C. K., Mazzocco K., & Dickert, S. (2006). Numeracy and Decision Making. Psychological Science, 17(5), 407-413.

Prencipe, A. and & Zelazo, P. D. (2005). Development of Affective Decision Making for Self and Other: Evidence for the Integration of First- and Third-Person Perspectives. Psychological Science, 16(7), 501-505.

Reniers, R., Corcoran, R., Völlm, B. A., Mashru, A., Howard, R., & Liddle, P. F. (2012). Moral decision-making, ToM, empathy and the default mode network. Biological Psychology, 90, 202- 210.

Richter, T., & Späth, P. (2006). Recognition Is Used as One Cue Among Others in Judgment and Decision Making. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 32(1), 150-162.

Russo, J. E., Carlson K. A., and Meloy, M. G. (2006). Choosing an Inferior Alternative. Psychological Science, 17(10), 899-904.

Sagi, A., & Friedland, N. (2007). The cost of richness: the effect of the size and diversity of decision sets on post-decision regret. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 93(4), 515-112

San Martín, R., Manes, F., Hurtado, E., Isla, P. & Ibáñez, A. (2010). Size and probability of rewards modulate the feedback error-related negativity associated with wins but not losses in a monetarily rewarded gambling task. NeuroImage, 51(3), 1194-1204.

Sanfey, A. G., Hastie, R., Colvin, M. K., & Grafman, J. (2003). Phineas gauged: decision-making and the human prefrontal cortex. Neuropsychologia, 41, 1218-1229.

Simon, D., Krawczyk, D. C., & Holyoak, K. J., (2004). Construction of Preferences by Constraint Satisfaction. Psychological Science, 15(5), 331-336.

Stanley, D. A., Sokol-Hessner, P., Mahzarin R., Banaji, M., & Phelps, E. A. (2011). Implicit race attitudes predict trustworthiness judgments and economic trust decisions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(19), 7710-7715.

Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B., Lichtebstein, S. (1977). Behavioral Decision Theory. Annual Review of Psychology, 28(1), 1-39.

Tan, L. H., Chan, A. H., Kay, P., Khong, P. L, Yip, L. K., & Kang-Kwong, L. (2008). Language affects patterns of brain activation associated with perceptual decision. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105(10), 4004-4009.

Thagard. P. (2008). La Mente Introducción a las ciencias cognitivas. Madrid: Katz.

Töllner, T., Rangelov, D. R., & Müller, H. J. (2012). How the speed of motor-response decisions, but not focal-attentional selection, differs as a function of task set and target prevalence. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(8), 11086-11095.

Van‘t-Wout, M. & Sanfey, A. G. (2008). Friend or foe: the effect of implicit trustworthiness judments in social decision-making. Cognition, 108, 796-803

Vega de, M. (1984). Introducción a la psicología cognitiva. Madrid: Alianza.

Vélez, A. E., Borja, K. C., y Ostrosky-Solís, F. (2010). Efectos del consumo de marihuana sobre la toma de decisión. Revista Mexicana de Psicología, 27(2), 309-315.

Vlaev, I., & Chater, N. (2006). Game Relativity: How Context Influences Strategic Decision Making. Journal of experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 32(1), 131-149.

Weller, J. A., Levin, I. P., Shiv, B., & Bechara, A. (2007). Neural Correlates of Adaptive Decision Making for Risky Gains and Losses. Psychological Science, 18(11), 958-964

Wua, S., Delgado, M. & Maloney, L. T. (2009). Economic decision-making compared with an equivalent motor task. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(15), 6088-6093.

Yamagishi, K. (2003). Effects of valence and framing in decision making II: Estimating subjective weighting. Japanese Psychological Research, 45(3), 173-187.

Yechiam, E., Busemeyer, J. R., Stout, J. C., & Bechara, A. (2005). Using Cognitive Models to Map Relations between Neuropsychological Disorders and Human Decision-Making Deficits. Psychological Science, 16(12), 973-978

Zaki, J., & Mitchell, J. P. (2011). Equitable decision making is associated with neural markers of intrinsic value. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(49), 19761-19766.